Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.281603 2.606306 2.951526 3.344886 3.779649 4.244448 4.777885
2025-01-05 1.774092 2.239967 2.774700 3.429043 4.203055 5.084232 6.157764
2025-01-12 1.369460 1.897063 2.546276 3.392150 4.452364 5.723953 7.349708
2025-01-19 1.123046 1.690499 2.432845 3.453413 4.795840 6.475691 8.707655
2025-01-26 0.934812 1.520079 2.329807 3.497581 5.099617 7.178328 10.030925
2025-02-02 0.793846 1.387254 2.251562 3.552797 5.405260 7.885494 11.384172
2025-02-09 0.665935 1.249446 2.142901 3.544194 5.609350 8.455337 12.571711
2025-02-16 0.551810 1.112057 2.013455 3.484505 5.725259 8.898233 13.595577
2025-02-23 0.477490 1.027358 1.952476 3.516260 5.967775 9.521166 14.886810
2025-03-02 0.402037 0.926613 1.850993 3.470439 6.083475 9.959547 15.927120
2025-03-09 0.352960 0.865900 1.807996 3.511219 6.328992 10.592415 17.265468
2025-03-16 0.305048 0.798435 1.743847 3.508055 6.500121 11.116341 18.458725
2025-03-23 0.279619 0.775050 1.760158 3.649183 6.921247 12.052916 20.325533
2025-03-30 0.252368 0.742989 1.756739 3.755622 7.292704 12.932026 22.145529
2025-04-06 0.214217 0.677940 1.680598 3.722723 7.426051 13.442010 23.420648
2025-04-13 0.190814 0.643394 1.661077 3.791707 7.735975 14.243975 25.174568
2025-04-20 0.168725 0.607186 1.633029 3.840603 8.011259 14.998573 26.877785
2025-04-27 0.150257 0.576370 1.612290 3.900699 8.307738 15.797156 28.674752
2025-05-04 0.129604 0.534067 1.559916 3.891650 8.475828 16.385991 30.151415
2025-05-11 0.108695 0.484997 1.484591 3.827356 8.535360 16.790716 31.338611
2025-05-18 0.095846 0.457864 1.457759 3.861655 8.780375 17.518897 33.075988
2025-05-25 0.080857 0.418725 1.395190 3.812237 8.859965 17.960785 34.348699
2025-06-01 0.071783 0.397852 1.376215 3.856242 9.121634 18.727651 36.183249